Listeners of the HPANWO Show on HPANWO Radio will know that
on every programme I deliver a space weather report. What is happening right
now is one of the reasons I do that. On the latest show, see: https://hpanwo-radio.blogspot.com/2024/05/hpanwo-show-549-podcast-jackie-noise.html,
I describe the sunspot AR3664. This is by far the biggest and most energetic
sunspot I've ever seen since I began the project in 2012. The spot is so huge
its diameter is more than fifteen times that of the earth. It can be seen on
the solar disk without any magnification. (NB: please do not look at the sun
without the correct optical equipment or eclipse goggles. Otherwise you risk
permanent blindness from the damage the light and ultraviolet radiation can do
to your eyes.) This sunspot is as big and as powerful as the famous Carrington
sunspot of 1859. There is a comparative illustration above where the two
sunspot records are superimposed onto the solar disk. When the Carrington event
happened, the spot erupted with a massive X-class solar flare and coronal mass
ejection; which resulted in a G5 extreme type geomagnetic storm which
overloaded the entire electronic infrastructure of the earth. Luckily in those
days that just meant a few telegraph wires, but in today's day and age the electronic
infrastructure is so much more complex and we are so much more dependent on it.
A Carrington event today would not cause any physical harm to life on earth,
but it would devastate the human world with widespread power-cuts and telephone
and internet outages. This would throw the financial world into chaos and threaten
the safety of ships at sea and aircraft in flight; and that's just the
beginning. There are ways and means of reducing the harm caused by a Carrington
event; for example by reducing power on the national grid, shutting down
computers etc, but this requires coordination and planning. If such an event
happens we may not get much notice. Solar flares travel very quickly, many
hundred of miles per second. We may only get one or two days to prepare,
possibly less. In 2003 there was a geomagnetic storm that caused a blackout
across millions of square miles of North America that
lasted three days. Is this going to happen again, or worse? I don't know. If it
does this could be the excuse for the "black swan event", see: https://hpanwo-voice.blogspot.com/2024/05/the-masque-of-red-death.html.
All we can really do right now is enjoy the free fireworks. Yes, there will be
aurora borealis in the sky tonight in latitudes that don't normally see them.
Hopefully the sky where I am will be free of cloud.
See here for more information: https://hpanwo-voice.blogspot.com/2022/02/blackout.html.
See here for more information: https://hpanwo-voice.blogspot.com/2022/02/blackout.html.
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