Monday, 11 April 2022

French Election 2022 First Round

 
And Macron is down!... Under the Constitution of France, the President of the Republic is elected to a five-year term in a two-round election. When Emmanuel Macron was elected... or should I say appointed... in 2017, his main rival was a woman I consider the French Trump, Marine Le Pen, see here for background: https://hpanwo-voice.blogspot.com/2017/05/au-revoir-la-france.html. In the first round of the election, there are two winners, the leader and the runner up. Those two then face each other in a decider a fortnight later. The 2017 election was very obviously rigged, just like the 2020 US presidential election. The question is, will this one be? Politically it is identical; Macron and Le Pen are like Donald Trump and Joe Biden. The two candidates embody populism versus the establishment. Unlike in most countries, if a candidate fails to get elected in France, their party will put them back on the ticket for next time. The French people have become distinctly more rebellious in recent years. Social and economic problems have skyrocketed. The establishment's agenda of mass immigration has been blamed for much of it. Ritual murders and the vandalism of churches are endemic. Few people bear this in mind, but the nation is still under martial law following the 2015 terrorist attacks and armed soldiers patrol the streets of Paris. Unlike Britain, France is a naturally very unstable society. It regularly falls into crises from which emerge new "republics". These upheavals are often very violent and can result in riots, lynch mobs and judicial beheadings. It could be that the country is about to face another such revolution. Last year a group of military officials wrote an open letter warning that if the rot continued to spread they would take matters into their own hands, see: https://hpanwo-voice.blogspot.com/2021/05/a-warning-from-france_25.html. At the moment Macron and Le Pen are almost neck and neck; however the push-polls are giving Macron a slight lead to try and influence undecided voters. I believe if this election is once again stolen by Macron, or rather for him, that could be the moment when the generals will act. Or will peaceful means be enough and Macron this time be down and out?
See here for more information: https://hpanwo-voice.blogspot.com/2015/02/marine-le-pen-at-oxford-union.html.
And: https://hpanwo-tv.blogspot.com/2017/05/au-revoir-la-france.html.
And: http://hpanwo.blogspot.com/2021/01/donald-trump-portal.html.

3 comments:

Lenny Murphy's Meat Cleaver said...

Surely with your anarchist hatred of the state in favour of markets, as you've espoused, you won't like Le Pen's statist and welfarist pro worker policies? Ayn Rand she ain't, thank gawd!
Personally I see big business/banking as more a problem than the state, and so I support her, wholeheartedly.

Ben Emlyn-Jones said...

Yes, she's gone a bit over the top with protectionism. I'm also concerned about her U-turn on Frexit.

Ben Emlyn-Jones said...

Lenny, perhaps you'd like to rephrase your last submitted comment. There's no way I'm publishing rudeness and misrepresentation like that!