Thursday, 19 June 2025

What Will Trump Do?

 
This article is a follow-up to the subject feature in the latest Third Rail Radio show, see: https://hpanwo-radio.blogspot.com/2025/06/third-rail-radio-programme-210.html. As regular readers will know, I was very enthusiastic when Donald Trump was re-elected US President last year, see background link below. However, I'm concerned by some of the things he has done since, or failed to do. In the last two weeks Trump has remained worryingly indecisive over the violence in the Middle East. He has said that the war must end and has called for a ceasefire and negotiations. Israel wants it to continue, although it's not certain exactly how much damage has been done to the Iranian nuclear laboratories. Netanyahu is claiming Trump as his own, stating that his American counterpart is totally behind him. He is convinced the United States will join him in a full scale military coalition against Iran. Trump appears to be only halfway there, in my view. Trump keeps reiterating that Iran must not be allowed to develop a nuclear bomb. I agree, but neither should any other nation in the region, including Israel. This is a pivotal moment. Trump can do what almost all his predecessors have done and simply back Israel unconditionally. In this way he might be dragged down into a foreign war commitment; exactly the kind of war he promised he would never allow. Don't be surprised if we see another false flag attack in the tradition of USS Liberty. Trump can try and maintain the current fence-sitting or he can pull back. If he simply withdraws all involvement in a single move he will be criticized for throwing Israel to the wolves and will lose a lot of Jewish support. On the other hand he will be seen as keeping his promise to the MAGA movement, people like Tucker Carlson and Marjorie Taylor Greene. What I hope he will do is use this as a creative opportunity. He should not support Israel with any arms or funding, but at the same time be honest about the Islamic republic regime in Iran. He must tell everybody exactly from where Iran receives its foreign aid; and then arrest Donald Rumsfeld for giving them nuclear technology. Should a false flag occur, Trump must reveal exactly what it is. Wars always stop once both sides run out of money and lies. The innocent people of Israel and Iran are in desperate need. Trump owes them a lifeline. Do the right thing, Mr President!
See here for background: https://hpanwo.blogspot.com/2021/01/donald-trump-portal.html.

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2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Israel has had nuclear capability in the form of nuclear armed warheads since the 1960's but has yet to officially confirm or deny despite whistleblowers. Unlike Iran, Israel is not a signatory to the international nuclear non- proliferation programme. Trump also withdrew the US from this in his last term. There is no current evidence of Iran restarting a nuclear weapons programme, something acknowledged by the Iranian regime as part of the talks that Trump halted in 2018 and imposed sanctions. As recently as March US intelligence confirmed with the international community this is still the case. Originally Iran is believed to have obtained the technology from Pakistan and N Korea in the 1990's, well before allegedly US in the form of Rumsfeld in 2001-2006. As point of fact Netanyahu has been claiming Iran is close to obtaining a nuclear weapon for well in the region of 20+ years long before Rumsfeld too, however this has never been the case or Iran would have very much declared it or worse used it to get sanctions lifted or 'wipe israel off the face of the map' as a direct quote from the Iranian leadership (in the same vein as N Korea). IMHO Trump is being 'played' on the world stage by another world leader for their own ends (dragging US , UK and other Allies into a conflict with Iran in the case of Netanyahu) often to save their own positions of power domestically. Trump is completely out of his depth with inexperienced or incompetent advisors he has appointed and complete failure to read his daily intelligence briefings leading to misunderstanding any given event whilst being forced to react rather than plan. Chaos and carnage domestically and abroad are all that we will see for 4+ years under his tenure. It's Geopolitics 101

19 June 2025 at 20:20
Ben Emlyn-Jones said...

It's scary to see Trump being overwhelmed like this. It's like in LOTR where Gandalf says: "Don't tempt me with it, Frodo!" and Frodo looks scared cos he realizes Gandalf is not invincible. I find people like Melanie Philips and Douglas Murray tiresome when they sanctify and glorify Israel. I don't have a problem with Israel or its people. They have a right to exist; but it's just a country, nothing more nor less. It's not the pivot around which the entire world turns. It's not the source of all the world's good, or evil; depending on who you ask. Murray has essentially thrown his own country under the bus to focus 100% on Israel, a nation he is not a citizen of. He's not even Jewish.

20 June 2025 at 00:42

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