They say the political world stops for the weekend, but
obviously not this one. I'm sorry I didn't write about these updates sooner,
but I've been away at the Bases conference. The unflushable turd is finally
round the U-bend; yes, Keir Starmer has resigned as prime minister. He will
remain in office until Labour chooses a new leader, probably when Parliament
returns from their summer break. This is a complex process, far more so than
with the Conservatives, and it has happened far less often. There has not been
a contested Labour leadership change since 2015; and only once before during a
government, when Jim Callaghan succeeded Harold Wilson. Two-Tier Starlin's
announcement followed the Makerfield by-election that was won by Andy Burnham,
see: https://hpanwo-radio.blogspot.com/2026/06/hpanwo-show-635-makerfield-election.html.
This is a disappointing result, in my view; although Sargon of Akkad is pleased
Restore Britain came third right on the polling prediction. I had hoped for
better, but maybe my expectations were too high. Labour did not only win they
actually doubled their majority. It could be this is just residual Northern
tribalism, after all the Makerfield area has been a Labour stronghold since the
party was founded in 1900; but it could also be because the official rightwing
opposition in the shape of Reform UK has not won the public's trust. Good; it
does not deserve it. At the same time fewer people than was necessary dared to
leap over the chasm and back Restore. At the same time a few Restorers still
voted tactically for Reform, despite the amazing opportunity Restore presented
in Makerfield. The fears about vote splitting were unfounded; it would have
made no difference to the outcome. Reform was polled to lose by a narrow
margin, but in the end they only got 15,000; this is a huge failure for
Farage's party. Hopefully this will be a lesson learned for those closet
Loweists. A tactical vote for Reform is jumping into a lifeboat that is also
sinking. There are more seaworthy alternatives currently paddling away from the
Parliamentary Titanic. I suspect this
"Reform-or-bust" delusion kept a lot of the electorate away from the
polls and hampered the success or Restore. See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ehu6C3jK9bw.
Another lesson the people did not seem to understand was
that their constituency has been exploited by the Westminster elite, the gaggle
of suited bureaucrats, mostly Southerners, who are the nation's demolition
crew. The man they elected, Josh Simons, has been removed, with his permission,
and therefore their decision has been spat on; and for what? For a greater
national and international political agenda. Andy Burnham is being considered
to be on some sort of hero's journey, a Paul Atreides who is destined to save
the Labour Party. It is extraordinary to think that a man who was not even an
MP until last Friday could be prime minister within two months. What's more
this outcome is being discussed in the media as a certainty, as if it were all
planned from the start, before Josh Simons'.... sorry! Lord Simons'... resignation. It's as if the leadership contest is a
mere formality, a foregone conclusion. This displays a major problem with the
British political system that most other countries don't suffer. We, the
people, cannot elect our head of government. They are merely selected by the
majority party in the House of Commons. Other nations, such as the USA ,
have a separate election to appoint their head of executive power, in this case
it is President Trump. I agree with Jacob Rees-Mogg, election to public office
is a sacred duty and is not something to be bought, sold, bartered or traded
for the fools' gold of more widespread power struggles. If I were Josh Simons I
would never have quit. The party could then expel me; fine, I would sit on as
an independent MP. Another good point Jacob makes is that this situation really
does require a general election, even though it is not constitutionally
necessary. This transformation is too radical and there is too much public
disapproval. What will happen if... when
Burnham gets into number 10? Nothing will improve, that's for sure. Probably
most people won't even notice the difference. The one bit of good news from the
Makerfield by-election is that the Tories came in just above Count Binface...
By the way, Happy Brexit Day, ten years on!
See here for more background: https://hpanwo.blogspot.com/2019/10/brexit-portal.html.
See here for more background: https://hpanwo.blogspot.com/2019/10/brexit-portal.html.

The first paragraph of this article is complete nonsense and following its advice would result in [a] Labour+ left coalition government[s] at the next election and beyond. The only commentator with a reasoned take on this result is Mark Collett.
ReplyDeletehttps://odysee.com/@MarkCollett:6/Makerfield-By-Election-Results:6
The important point he makes is that the left tends to consolidate its vote whereas the right splits its vote. Tell me what the big policy difference is between Restore and Reform. As far as I can see you can't put a cigarette paper between them on policy and that will be the perception of a public that is generally less willing to dig around than I am. Restore was formed in response to a personal feud, not a good reason to form a new party and a gift to the establishment.
When Burnham entered Parliament he was inevitably cheered by Labour but someone on the opposition benches very pertinently shouted "He's not the messiah!" The dreary, wooden persona of Starmer will allow him to be scapegoated for much that has gone wrong when in reality any likely replacement is not going to bring big policy changes. Burnham for example, is on record as being in favour of rejoining the EU.
Well, you're completely right about the second bit, and I find it odd and a little sinister that Andy Burnham is being talked about as if his election is a certainty when there is a challenge process that has only just begun and there are other candidates. I've not seen Mark Collett's video yet, but I will because he does have good takes. There is split rightwing loyalties right now, but I believe it is between a force for genuine good and a fake retirement home for ex-Tories. You say there is no different in policy between Retore and Reform? Well, that's odd considering that Restore has a consistent position on many subjects and has even started to develop practical models. Reform, if you judge its policy by Farage's own words, is a political chameleon. Nigel is this thing here and this thing there. He did lose Rupert Lowe, Ben Habib etc to personal feuds, but that's what's to terrible about it. Farage has revealed himself to be an egomaniac who says things like "I'm your last chance to save the system". He just wants to be the Tory the Tories could have been. This is why I trust Lowe more. The time has come to roll the dice and back genuine patriots. Yes, that risks losing because of vote splitting, but I'm not going to vote for a watered down striped suited conman in the attempt to avoid that. If not Rupert, who? If not now, when?
DeleteAt this rate there won't even be a leadership contest in the Labour party as they all seem happy to elect Andy Burnham. I'm not sure why the astonishment at Andy Burnham having some sort of hitherto unheard of rise to power because he wasn't a sitting MP a couple of months ago. He was an MP for 16 years prior to being the Mayor of Manchester... He has also been a cabinet minister. He's actually a a far better choice for the constituents of Makerfield if they want changes they voted for than Josh Simmons and the electorate seem to agree. As for it being planned, perhaps in the same manner as Farage and Clacton? Our parliamentary system is designed to not give power to a single leader and so in that sense we are a fairer system than the US or other countries and long may it remain so. I would rather the party choose their cabinet and leader and succeed or fail on their own merits. By the same token this is why we see so many risks and problems with Reform or Restore as they are the self serving establishment not the Andy Burnham's of the world. When millionaire businessmen that accept cash for their political actions and claim to be 'one of the people' if you don't smell the BS and are taken in by this you deserve to suffer the consequences.
ReplyDeleteAnon, there will be a leadership contest of sorts, but the whole thing looks as real as a wrestling match. It's not Burnham's CV that's the issue, it's the fact that he's being presented as the automatic winner without any due process. As for Farage at Clacton, I'm glad the former candidate still ran as an independent. Farage apparently promised him a cabinet post. My first question would be "can I have that in writing?" I disagree about our system being better in that way. Prime minister is something separate in political role. As for the cabinet, yes of course he can choose them himself. The US president does so.
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