I've recently been in a debate with somebody on the internet
(Yes, I know!) about the strange case of the Dover Demon. In this debate I have
discovered a perfect example of the "clown's day off" fallacy. The
Dover Demon is a strange creature reported by four people in three separate
sightings on two nights in April 1977. They took place in the small and
isolated town of Dover in Massachusetts
USA. The being is described as four legged with very thin legs and prehensile
paws on all four limbs. Its head was bulbous and had huge eyes that glowed
green or orange. It had no other facial features. Despite its slight similarity
to a grey alien, no spacecraft was reported in the vicinity at the time. The
fact that it was seen near a river on all three occasions has led some researchers
to suggest it might be an aquatic cryptid instead of an extraterrestrial. Or it might possibly be a "puckwudgee", an etheric being from Amerindian folklore. Skeptics mostly claim that the witnesses all saw a foal from a local farm, even
though it was the wrong season, or a baby moose, although there are no wild moose
in that region. This video is a good summary: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bKAYTc07VpE.
However, it was on another more slapdash video that I had the debate. A YouTuber
called "Richard Delmuth" wrote a very skeptical comment; which,
needless to say, I took him to task for in a reply. He asserts that the
witnesses all conspired to hoax their encounters. He is so certain of this that
at the end of the comment he puts it: "Case CLOSED: HOAX!" (his
emphasis). He correctly points out that all the witnesses were teenagers and
attended the same school. No surprise there; Dover
is a small place, a village by British standards, and it only has a single
school. But then he goes on to add: "I
think there are clues in Bartlett 's sketch indicating the 'sighting' was a
hoax. In the brief written description he provides he stated the skin colour of
the thing was of a colour like purple. Curiously, he misspelled a simple word
like 'purple' as 'PROPle'; an odd 'mistake' to make for a seventeen year old
about to graduate high school!... Was he insinuating by misspelling the word
that a PROP or model of the creature thing was used to sketch it from? Both
Bartlett and Baxter made well delineated drawings of the thing... Baxter may
have made the clay prop/model for them both to draw the images of the thing
from." With those words he commits a classic case of the clown's day
off fallacy. Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uWcULDL50wY.
I call it the clown's day off fallacy because, theoretically,
one could hypothesize that the Loch Ness Monster phenomenon was a total hoax
perpetrated by a clown with a day off from the circus. You might ask "What
clown? What circus?" but according to the fallacy, the skeptic does not
need to answer this. He has made an alternative non-cryptid suggestion, and it doesn't
matter how unlikely or absurd the alternative is; in fact it doesn't even
matter if there is absolutely zero evidence that it ever occurred. All that
matters is that it does not involve dinosaurs in a Scottish lake and therefore
it wins by default, according to some principle I fail to understand. When
using this fallacy, debunking becomes nothing more than a feat of the
imagination. I explain more in my recent talk at SUFON, see the background link
below; the relevant part starts around fifty-nine minutes in. Mr Delmuth has no
evidence a prop was constructed. All he is going on is Bartlett 's
typo and the fact that Baxter happens to be an artist. That's a pretty flimsy
correlation upon which to build your case; yet Delmuth ends his comment with
the absolute certainty that his accusation is correct... I look forward to
continuing our wrangle!
See here for background: https://hpanwo-tv.blogspot.com/2022/03/skeptics-2022-at-sufon.html.
And: https://hpanwo.blogspot.com/2021/08/skeptics-portal.html.
See here for background: https://hpanwo-tv.blogspot.com/2022/03/skeptics-2022-at-sufon.html.
And: https://hpanwo.blogspot.com/2021/08/skeptics-portal.html.
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